20 games in: A look (honestly, quiet ugly) at some pre-season predictions

Matt Kemp - on an absolute tear to start the season. Write fielder Andrew McGilligan picked Kemp to win the MVP in the National League. This looks like the only prediction he has right to start the season.

McGILLIGAN: We’re about 10 per cent through the regular season, so its time to check in on the preseason predictions.

This could get ugly.

American League Division and Wild Card Winners
AL East – New York Yankees
Al Central – Detroit Tigers
Al West – Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Analysis: Not one of the teams I predicted are in first place. I know its early and the Yanks and Tigers are close, but it’s the Angels that surprise me. All that money spent by the halos to be cellar dwellers in the West.

AL Wildcard – Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox
Analysis: The Ranger are already six games up in the West and have looked unbelievably good this season. Despite its terrible starting pitching and injury woes – not to mention Bobby V – the Sox are one game below .500, so there’s still a good chance the ship can be righted in Beantown – maybe.

National League Division and Wild Card Winners
NL East – Philadelphia Phillies
NL Central – Milwaukee Brewers
NL West – San Francisco Giants
Analysis: Not one of these three are in first place and the Phillies look old this year. The Cardinals are playing great ball in the central, but the biggest surprise is in the West. Magic Johnson’s mojo is doing wonders for the Dodgers who have looked like world beaters this spring, thanks to an unbelievable start by Matt Kemp.

NL Wildcards – Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins
Analysis: Arizona has hovered around the .500 mark, but it’s the Marlins that have looked awful with a power outage from the bats and poorly chosen words from Ozzie Guillen.

World Series
Detroit over San Francisco in six games
Analysis: I’m sticking with it.

And the trophy goes to…
AL MVPMiguel Cabrera
Original Reason: With Fielder doing the job of Victor Martinez providing protection for arguably the best hitter in the game, I see another outstanding year on the horizon.
Analysis: Cabrera is near the top of most offensive categories and has meshed well with Fielder. I still like this pick, but Josh Hamilton is the early season front-runner as it stands.

AL Cy YoungDavid Price
Original Reason: He’s developed other pitches to go with his great fastball and I think this is the year he puts it all together.
Analysis: Despite Fenway Park being his own personal pit of despair, Price has looked good posting a 4-1 record with a 2.67 ERA and a complete game.I still like this pick
.
AL Rookie of the YearMatt Moore
Original Reason: I was tempted to go with Yu Darvish or Yoenis Cespedes (honestly either one could have been my pick), but I’m going with the Rays rookie hurler Matt Moore to take the honour.
Analysis: Cespedes and Darvish are looking great and definitely in front of Moore this spring.

NL MVPMatt Kemp
Original Reason: Can’t see why he wouldn’t be just as great this year as last. New ownership makes it a more stable place to play, which can’t hurt.
Analysis: I’m very comfortable with this pick. It might be the only one I get right,

NL Cy YoungRoy Halladay
Original Reason: I don’t ever like to bet against Roy Halladay, so I won’t. Chalk up another trophy for Doc.
Analysis: I still like Doc. If he can get some better run support, then the trophy is within reach.

NL Rookie of the YearYonder Alonso
Original Reason: I wanted to slot in Bryce Harper, but I decided to go out to the left coast and predict Padres rookie Yonder Alonso comes home with the award.
Analysis: The NY Mets Kirk Nieuwenhuis and Cards Matt Carpenter have been impressive thus far. Alonso has struggled early, but has plenty of time to get into a groove.However, this could all be moot as Harper is now playing for the Nationals.

Here were my random predictions:
1. Ozzie Guillen conducts an entire press conference using nothing but Spanish curse words.
Analysis: Insert ‘praise for Castro’ instead of Spanish curse words and I’m bang on.
2. KFC tries all season to make Jon Lester and Josh Beckett their news spokesmen to no avail…..John Lackey offers to do it for bucket of chicken and is turned down
Analysis: Still a lot of season left, I’m not counting this out.

3. After being thrown out of a game, Bobby Valentine dresses up as Matt Damon, sits next to Ben Affleck near Red Sox dugout and tries to coach using various hand signals being relayed to David Ortiz.

 Analysis: I wish this was the embarrassing thing Bobby V did this season…sadly it was not. However, win and all is forgotten.

 

STRADER:

American League Division and Wildcard Winners

AL EAST – New York Yankees

AL WEST – Texas Rangers

AL CENTRAL – Detroit Tigers

WILDCARDS – LA Angels, Minnesota Twins.

 

Analysis: Man. I’m a genius. Honestly, who saw the Texas Rangers coming? That one must have shocked the world…everything else is looking hopeless. I’m starting to get really close to the panic button for a couple of things, and Jose Bautista, and Albert Pujols are both among them, and this from a staunch supporter of guys with track records. Minnesota isn’t going to win crap if they don’t get their timing together. Sure, they’re sixth in the league in team batting average, but they’re 21st in runs scored. I saw their pitching as not great, but competitive. I guess the basement (5.69 ERA) isn’t quite competitive?

I’m not even gonna talk about the Tigers and the Yankees. We all know offenses like that can turn it around, and as a Jays fan, I don’t really care if my predictions are wrong here, although I still see them as right.

The Angels will grab a wildcard, teams like the Orioles and Indians aren’t staying up top.

National League Division and Wildcard Winners

NL EAST – Braves

NL CENTRAL – Cincinnati

NL WEST – LA Dodgers

Wildcard – Arizona, Colorado

Analysis: I like where I am across the board here. St. Louis is looking good, and could punch holes in my Cincy love affair, but once again a killer offence is a killer offence, and I think the Reds, ala the Yanks and Tigers, can go on a run.

Arizona and Colorado aren’t there yet, but I have to believe they will turn around too, or else my picks are junk, and I’m not ready to bale on either yet. Let’s not forget that the Indians are in first in their division right now. The Indians people.

And the trophy goes to…

AL MVP – Jose Bautista

Oh shut up…

AL Rookie of the Year – Yu Darvish

My honorable mention might not work out here (Lorenzo Cain) as the Royals flounder again, but I’m plenty happy with my pick. Darvish is going to take this.

AL Cy Young– Ricky Romero

He dominates right handed batters (as a lefty!), and I thought an improved cut fastball and a steadier curve was going to result in even splits and a career season.

Once again, shut up…

NL MVP – Troy Tulowitzki

Right now it feels like Kemp is actually pissed he didn’t take this trophy and will be fighting off his ace from pulling a National League Verlander-type sweep…but whatever. It’s early and Tulo could turn it on.

NY Rookie of the Year – Drew Pomeranz

It could be Lynn, but let’s see if batters begin to read his book and figure him out. Mesoraco looks like the man right now with a .300 avg and the responsibility of handling a pitching staff. But in-season callups could dominate this category as guys like Harper come up, and hit dingers. Everyone loves dingers…

NL Cy Young – Kershaw

Feelin’ just fine here. This guy is unreal…

 

LIVINGSTONE: Well, yep, my predictions…just look and laugh.

American League Division and Wild Card Winners

AL East – Yankees

Al Central – Detroit Tigers

Al West – Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

AL Wildcard – Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays

Analysis: The Yankees look like the Yankees, the Red Sox, well, they look like the bottom of a dumpster to start the season and it’s unclear whether or not they will pick things up. The Jays. Geez, it wasn’t supposed to be solid pitching and weak hitting – with a questionable start to the bullpen – that started this season off for the Canadian club. But hell, things aren’t looking terrible. Detroit and LA…I don’t know what to say. It’s a slow start for both teams – hitting in LA is awful and pitching in Detroit is looking nothing like it did last year.

National League Division and Wild Card Winners

NL East – Washington Nationals

NL Central – Cincinnati Reds

NL West – San Francisco Giants

NL Wildcards – Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies (odd team out: D’Backs, Dodgers, Braves – all nipping at the heels)

OVER-RATED: MIAMI MARLINS (new stadium, new unis, new players – same whiny Hanley Ramirez. Expect him to bring down the team.)

RATIONALE: Washington is looking like the team to beat right now. The starting rotation is out of this world good and are putting up quality starts all over the place. Hitting, well, it could be better, but a surprise start by Adam Laroche and the eventual return of Michael Morse, closer Drew Storen and hopefully Ryan Zimmerman – along with the call-up of Bryce Harper – should keep this team rolling along. San Fran is playing like they should and Pablo Sandoval and Buster Posey are prime to be one of the best 3-4 combinations in the game this season.

World Series

Angels over Giants in six games

RATIONALE: I said the Angels were the real deal before the season started. I still think they are.

And the trophy goes to…

AL MVPJose Bautista

I don’t even know what to say…

AL Cy YoungCC Sabathia

CC hasn’t looked dominate, but he still looks to be a solid 15 to 17 game winner.

AL Rookie of the YearYoenis Cespedes

Called it. He’s mashing the ball.

NL MVPJoey Votto

Sluggish start, for the Canadian kid and the Reds, but he’ll pick it up.

NL Cy YoungMatt Cain

Looking like a contender for this award. He’s been near-untouchable this season.

NL Rookie of the Year Brandon Belt

He’s picked his game up as of late, but he hasn’t performed to the high-calibre that has been expected of him.

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Advertisements
%d bloggers like this: